Abstract

This research presents an analysis of the dissemination of dengue, transmitted by Aedes aegypti, commonly known as the dengue mosquito. The study highlights the global increase in cases over the years, with a significant rise in Brazil, specifically in Paraíba. The research aims to analyze the distribution of reported dengue cases in the years 2015 and 2022 in the State of Paraíba using spatial statistical methods, considering socioeconomic and environmental factors. Moran indices were used to test spatial dependence, and maps such as Box Map, Lisa Map, and Moran Map were employed to visualize spatial associations. A Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) regression model was applied to assess the influence of independent variables on the Spatial Incidence Ratio (SIR). The results suggest spatial autocorrelation in the SIR and highlight the significance of the variables (Municipal Human Development Index and Per Capita Income) in the SAR 4 model

Keywords

• SIR
• SAR
• Spatial Statistics

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